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The latest EU referendum poll results: is Leave or Remain in the lead?

The most recent opinion polls on the EU referendum show a vanishingly narrow gap between Leave and Remain.

Although their reputation for reliability took a pasting in the 2015 general election, opinion polls remain a key tool in assessing voter intentions. In polling on the EU referendum, a longstanding majority for remain has been gradually undermined as the vote approaches, with recent polls showing a narrow lead for Remain, and in some cases a reversal putting Leave slightly ahead.

Read on to find out what the latest polls are saying.  

TNS-BMRB

6 June 2016

Remain 41%

Leave 43%

Undecided 16%

 

YouGov 

6 June 2016

Remain 43%

Leave 42%

Don't know 11%

 

ICM

31 May 2016 (for the Guardian)

Remain 48%

Leave 52%

 

Opinium

31 May 2016

Remain 43%

Leave 41%

Other 16%

 

BMG

25 May 2016

Leave 45% (nc)

Remain 44% (+1)

Undecided 12% (-1)

 

Survation

25 May 2016

Remain 44% (-1)

Leave 38% (NC)

Undecided 18% (+1)

 

Comres

19 May 2016 (for ITV News/Daily Mail)

All GB adults (turnout weighted)  

Remain 52% (-1)     

Leave 41% (+3)        

Don’t Know 7% (-2) 

 

Those likely to vote and expressing a voting intention

Remain 57% (-1)

Leave 43% (+1)

 

Ipsos MORI

18 May 2016

Remain 60%

Leave 40%

 

ORB

2-5 June 2016 (for the Telegraph)

Remain 52%

Leave 40%

Undecided 7%

 

Definite voters only

Remain 48%

Leave 47%

Undecided 5%

 

 


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